AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Germany. Bundesliga • Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 02:30 PM

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Win Probability: 65%

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 02:30 PM

3-1

• AI Prediction

Borussia Dortmund Win

High confidence

02:30 PM

Augsburg
Augsburg

Win Probability: 15%

Head-to-Head Statistics

Borussia Dortmund Wins3
Draws1
Augsburg Wins2

Last Meeting

2025-10-310-1

Away Win

Predictions

Borussia Dortmund Win

Match Result

High1.454

3-1

Correct Score

High

Yes

Both Teams To Score

High1.69

Under 2.5 Goals

Total Goals

High2.4

AI Match Analysis

Borussia Dortmund are strong favorites to secure a home victory against an Augsburg side depleted by injuries and suspensions. Dortmund's superior league standing and potent attack should prove too much for the visitors, though Augsburg's recent good form suggests they could get on the scoresheet. Expect a home win with several goals in the match.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets

Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.5 goals. The odds for a home win are short, but combining it with a total goals prediction offers better value, which aligns with the high-scoring nature of many of Dortmund's home games. Both Teams to Score 'Yes'. Despite Dortmund's strength, they have defensive absences. Augsburg is in good goal-scoring form and could find the net, making the BTTS market attractive.

Risky Bets

Correct Score of 3-1. While plausible given the attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses of both sides, predicting the exact score is inherently difficult. Augsburg Double Chance (2x). Given Dortmund's strong home record and Augsburg's injury list, betting on the visitors to get a result is a high-risk, high-reward option.

Borussia Dortmund Overview

Overview

Borussia Dortmund comes into this match in a strong league position, sitting 2nd in the Bundesliga table. [31, 35] Their home form has been particularly impressive, with a high win rate at Signal Iduna Park. [24] Despite some mixed results recently, including a loss to Bayern Munich and a Champions League exit to Atalanta, their overall quality and attacking prowess make them clear favorites. [6, 14] Historically, they have dominated this fixture, winning 18 of the last 30 meetings against Augsburg. [1]

Tactical Notes

Dortmund is expected to control possession and apply high pressure from the start, utilizing their speed on the wings. With key attackers like Serhou Guirassy in form, they will look to exploit Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities. The absence of Emre Can in defense and the suspension of Ramy Bensebaini could force a reshuffle at the back, potentially creating opportunities for the opposition. However, their offensive firepower is likely to be the deciding factor.

Key Players

Julian BrandtSerhou GuirassyGregor Kobel

Injuries

Emre Can: Cruciate ligament tearCarney Chukwuemeka: Muscular problemsFilippo Mané: Muscle injuryNiklas Süle: Thigh injury, recovering

Augsburg Overview

Overview

Augsburg arrives at this fixture in respectable mid-table form, currently positioned 9th in the league. [13, 33] Their recent results have been positive, with four wins in their last six league matches, showcasing their capability. [13] However, their away form has been inconsistent, and they face a significant step up in quality against a top-tier opponent like Dortmund. The team will be hampered by several key defensive injuries and a suspension, which will test their squad depth. [5, 30]

Tactical Notes

Augsburg will likely adopt a defensive and counter-attacking strategy, aiming to stay compact and frustrate Dortmund's attack. They will look for opportunities on the break, using the pace of their forwards. Their main challenge will be to contain Dortmund's fluid offense, especially given their own defensive absences. Set-pieces could be a crucial area where they might look to gain an advantage. Success will depend on a disciplined defensive performance and clinical finishing when chances arise.

Key Players

Ermedin DemirovićRuben VargasFinn Dahmen

Injuries

Jeffrey Gouweleeuw: Inner ligament injuryChrislain Matsima: Tendon tearUchenna Ogundu: Ankle injuryYannik Keitel: Knee injuryDimitrios Giannoulis: Achilles heel problems

Last 5 Matches – Borussia Dortmund

Last 5 Matches

  • LBayern Munich2-32026-02-28
  • LAtalanta1-42026-02-25
  • DRasenBallsport Leipzig2-22026-02-21
  • WAtalanta2-02026-02-17
  • W1. FSV Mainz 054-02026-02-13

Last 5 Matches – Augsburg

Last 5 Matches

  • W1. Koln2-02026-02-27
  • WVfL Wolfsburg3-22026-02-21
  • W1. Heidenheim1-02026-02-15
  • L1. FSV Mainz 050-22026-02-07
  • WSt. Pauli2-12026-01-31