AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Spain. La Liga • Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM

Girona

Win Probability: 35%

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM

1-1

• AI Prediction

Draw

Medium confidence

01:00 PM

Athletic Bilbao

Win Probability: 38%

Head-to-Head Statistics

Girona Wins2

Draws2

Athletic Bilbao Wins2

Last Meeting

2025-09-23 • 1-1

Draw

Predictions

Draw

Match Result

Medium3.455

1-1

Correct Score

Medium

Yes

Both Teams To Score

Medium1.76

Under 2.5 Goals

Total Goals

Medium1.858

AI Match Analysis

This La Liga encounter between Girona and Athletic Bilbao is expected to be a tightly contested affair. Both teams are in similar mid-table positions and have had inconsistent recent form. Key injuries and suspensions on both sides, most notably Nico Williams for Athletic Bilbao, could level the playing field. A draw seems a likely outcome, with both teams finding the back of thenet in a low-scoring match.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets

A 1-1 correct score at odds of 6.0 offers good value, as both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in recent matches, and their head-to-head history includes draws. Both teams to score (BTTS) at 1.76 is a solid value bet, considering both sides' attacking capabilities and defensive frailties, as well as the fact that this has occurred in 7 of their last 11 meetings.

Risky Bets

A home win for Girona at 2.817 could be considered risky given their inconsistent form and the number of injuries they are currently dealing with. An away win for Athletic Bilbao at 2.695 is also a risk due to their own injury and suspension issues, particularly the absence of the influential Nico Williams.

Girona Overview

Overview

Girona comes into this match in 12th place in La Liga. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of draws, a win against Barcelona, and a loss to Celta Vigo. They have shown they can score goals but have also been susceptible to conceding. Their home form at Montilivi will be a crucial factor in this encounter.

Tactical Notes

Girona is likely to employ an attacking style of play, looking to control possession and create chances through their key offensive players. They will need to be defensively solid to contain Athletic Bilbao's threats, particularly on the counter-attack. The absence of some key players due to injury could impact their usual starting lineup and strategy.

Key Players

Vladyslav VanatViktor TsygankovAzzedine Ounahi

Injuries

Portu: Cruciate ligament injuryJuan Carlos: Cruciate ligament injuryDonny van de Beek: Achilles tendon ruptureMarc-André ter Stegen: Hamstring injuryÁlex Moreno: Muscle injuryCristhian Stuani: Thigh injury

Athletic Bilbao Overview

Overview

Athletic Bilbao sits just above Girona in the La Liga table, currently in 10th position. Their recent form has also been mixed, with wins against Elche and Real Oviedo, but also losses to Real Sociedad and Barcelona. They possess a strong attacking threat but have been hampered by several key injuries and suspensions.

Tactical Notes

Athletic Bilbao, under coach Ernesto Valverde, is known for their organized and intense style of play. They are likely to press high and look to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities from Girona. The absence of Nico Williams will be a significant blow to their attacking prowess, and they will rely on the likes of Gorka Guruzeta and Iñaki Williams to lead the line.

Key Players

Gorka GuruzetaIñaki WilliamsOihan Sancet

Injuries

Nico Williams: Groin injuryBeñat Prados: Cruciate ligament injuryUnai Egiluz: Cruciate ligament injuryMaroan Sannadi: Meniscus injuryUnai Gomez: Knee injuryIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta: Shoulder injury

Last 5 Matches – Girona

Last 5 Matches

LCelta1-22026-03-01
DDeportivo Alaves2-22026-02-23
WBarcelona2-12026-02-16
DSevilla1-12026-02-08
LReal Oviedo0-12026-01-31

Last 5 Matches – Athletic Bilbao

Last 5 Matches

LReal Sociedad0-12026-03-04
DRayo Vallecano1-12026-02-28
WElche2-12026-02-20
WReal Oviedo2-12026-02-15
LReal Sociedad0-12026-02-11