UEFA Conference League • Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM

Win Probability: 40%
Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM
2-1
• AI Prediction
Fiorentina Win
Medium confidence07:00 PM

Win Probability: 35%
Last Meeting
2026-04-09 • 3-0
Home WinFiorentina Win
Match Result
2-1
Correct Score
Yes
Both Teams To Score
Under 2.5 Goals
Total Goals
Both teams to score (BTTS) - Yes: Fiorentina must attack and are likely to score at home, but their aggressive posture could leave them open at the back for a confident Crystal Palace side to exploit. Over 2.5 goals: Fiorentina's need for goals and Crystal Palace's counter-attacking threat could lead to an open and high-scoring affair.
Fiorentina to win by a large margin (e.g., -1.5 Asian Handicap): Overturning a 3-0 deficit is a monumental task, and while they might win the match, a win by two or more goals is a significant risk given Crystal Palace's current form. Correct score of 3-0 to Fiorentina: While this would be the dream scenario for the home side, the probability of this exact scoreline is low against a defensively solid Crystal Palace.
Fiorentina comes into this second leg with a significant 3-0 deficit. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins, a draw, and a heavy loss in the first leg. In Serie A, they are in the bottom half of the table. Their attack has shown some potency in recent games, but the defense was exposed against Crystal Palace. They will need a monumental effort to turn this tie around at home.
Fiorentina will likely have to adopt a very aggressive, attacking approach from the outset to have any chance of overturning the three-goal deficit. This could leave them vulnerable to counter-attacks. They will need to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities while being wary of Crystal Palace's pace on the break. Key players like Fagioli and Harrison will need to be at their creative best.
Crystal Palace holds a commanding 3-0 lead from the first leg and is in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions. They have been solid defensively, keeping clean sheets in their recent home games. Their attack has been clinical, as demonstrated in the first leg. They are in a strong position to advance to the next round.
With a three-goal advantage, Crystal Palace can afford to play a more conservative, counter-attacking game. They will likely look to absorb pressure and hit Fiorentina on the break with the speed of Sarr and the finishing of Mateta. Their organized defense will aim to frustrate the home side and protect their substantial lead. They will be content to cede possession and focus on maintaining their defensive shape.